Saatchi and Saatchi, a London-based advertising agency, shows two television commercials to a sample of 60 people. Seventy percent of these individuals prefer the first commercial over the second. Construct a 95 % confidence interval for the proportion of all members of the relevant population who feel that way.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 60
Point estimate = sample proportion = = 70% = 0.70
1 - = 1 - 0.70 = 0.30
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 * (((0.70 * 0.30) / 60)
= 0.116
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.70 - 0.116 < p < 0.70 + 0.116
0.584 < p < 0.816
(0.584 , 0.816)
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