Question 3
A manufacturer considers his production process to be out of
control when defects exceed 3%. In
a random sample of 85 items, the defect rate is 5.9% but the
manager claims that this is only a
sample fluctuation and production is not really out of control. At
the 0.01 level of significance,
test the manager's claim.
(a) State the null and alternative hypotheses for the test. [3
marks]
(b) Calculate the value of the test statistic for this test. [2
marks]
(c) Determine the critical region(s) for this test. [2 marks]
(d) State the conclusion of this test. Give a reason for your
answer. [3 marks]
Total 10 marks
a) H0 : p = 0.03 vs H1: p > 0.03
Ha represents the inspector’s claim.
So this is a right -- tailed test.
n = 85
pˆ = 0.059
α = 0.01 p0 =0.03
b) : Test Statistic for Proportion
z= pˆ−p0 /(p0⋅(1−p0)/
n )^0.5
z =(0.059 −0.03)/ {(0.03×0.97) /85}^0.5
z=1.57
c) Find the P-value
P-value = the area to the right of the Test Statistic = 1 -
0.9418 (obtained from Table)
= 0.0582
d) : Conclusion: Compare the P-value with Significance level
α
Since P-value=0.0582>0.05=α ,
fail to Reject H0 .
That is: There is not sufficient evidence to support the
inspector's claim that production is out of control.
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