In a paper “The Probable Error of Mean”, William Gosset, compared yields of head corn in pounds per acre for two preparations of seed. (Source: Biometrica, Vol. VI, No.1, 1908). Using seeds that were kiln-dried, Gosset stated that “with 95% confidence, the population mean yield was between 1611.3 and 2071.7 pounds”. He used a sample of 11 yields of head corn per acre. (a) Determine the sample mean ¯x. (b) Determine the 95% margin of error E. (c) Determine the sample standard deviation s.
Solution :
Given that,
Lower confidence interval = 1611.3
Upper confidence interval = 2071.7
(a)
= (Lower confidence interval + Upper confidence interval ) / 2
= (1611.3 + 2071.7) / 2
= 1841.5
(b)
Margin of error = E = Upper confidence interval - = 2071.5 - 1841.5 = 230
Margin of error = E = 230
(c)
sample size = n = 11
Degrees of freedom = df = n - 1 = 11 - 1 = 10
t /2,df = t0.025, = 2.228
Margin of error = E = t/2,df * (s /n)
s = E * n / t/2,df
= 230 * 11 / 2.228
= 342.4
sample standard deviation = 342.4
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