A hotel manager calculates that 33% of the hotel rooms are booked. If the manager is correct, what is the probability that the proportion of rooms booked in a sample of 405 rooms would differ from the population proportion by greater than 3% ? Round your answer to four decimal places.
Solution
Given that,
p = 33% = 0.33
1 - p = 1 - 0.33 = 0.67
n = 405
= p = 0.33
= [p ( 1 - p ) / n] = [(0.33 * 0.67) / 405 ] = 0.0234
0.33 - 0.03 = 0.30 and 0.33 + 0.03 = 0.36
P( 0.30 < < 0.36 )
= P[( 0.30 - 0.33 ) / 0.0234 < ( - ) / < ( 0.36 - 0.33 ) / 0.0234 ]
= P( - 1.28 < z < 1.28 )
= P(z < 1.28 ) - P(z < -1.28 )
Using z table
= 0.8997 - 0.1003
= 0.7994
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