It’s known that 3 % of people in a certain population have the
disease. A blood test gives a
positive result (indicating the presence of disease) for 90% of
people who have the disease,
and it is also positive for 5% of healthy people
One person is tested and the test gives positive result
If the test result is positive for the person, then the
probability that this person actually has
a disease is _________
If the test result is positive for the person, then the
probability that this person is healthy is
__________
Let us denote the events
A : a randomly selected person tested positive
B : a randomly selected person actually has a disease
Given
Now,
If the test result is positive for the person, then the probability that this person actually has a disease is
If the test result is positive for the person, then the probability that this person is healthy is
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