A game costs $3.00 to play. A player can win $1.00, $5.00, $10.00, or nothing at all. The probability of winning $1.00 is 40%, $5.00 is 20%, and $10.00 is 5%.
a) What is the probability of winning nothing at all?
b) Calculate the expected value for this game.
c) Explain whether this game is fair.
Here' the answer with all formulae. Write back in case you've doubts.
a. P(nothing at all) = 1-P(winning $1, $5, $10)
= 1-(.4+.2+.05)
= .35
b. Expected value of this game is the probability weight return
of each scenario - cost to play the game
= $(.35*0 + .4*1* + .2*5 + .05*10 - 3)
= -$2.1
c. The game is NOT fair on the player. If it
were fair then expected value of playing the game would have been
$0. Its negative 2.1 or -$2.1 , indicating he will make a "loss" on
average
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