A marketing manager is forecasting the sales of cars per week. Determine the error for each of the following forecasts. Then, calculate MAD and MSE. Period Value Forecast Error 1 202 — — 2 191 202 3 173 192 4 169 181 5 171 174 6 175 172 7 182 174 8 196 179 9 204 189 10 219 198 11 227 211
period | value | Forecast | error | |error| | error^2 |
1 | 202 | ||||
2 | 191 | 202 | -11 | 11 | 121 |
3 | 173 | 192 | -19 | 19 | 361 |
4 | 169 | 181 | -12 | 12 | 144 |
5 | 171 | 174 | -3 | 3 | 9 |
6 | 175 | 172 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
7 | 182 | 174 | 8 | 8 | 64 |
8 | 196 | 179 | 17 | 17 | 289 |
9 | 204 | 189 | 15 | 15 | 225 |
10 | 219 | 198 | 21 | 21 | 441 |
11 | 227 | 211 | 16 | 16 | 256 |
average | 12.50 | 191.90 |
from above : error for each of forecast is given in error column
MAD =12.50
MSE =191.90
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