Question

2. Consider an election in which a candidate needs 18 electoral college votes to win anelection. The available states, their electoral votes, and the respective probabilities of the candidate winning the available states’ votes are given in the following table.Probability of Candidate Winning

Sate | Electoral cotes | Probability of Candidate Winning

AZ 11 0.40

MN 10 0.65

CO. 9 0.55

NM 5 0.60

What is the probability that the candidate wins the election?(Include a probabilitytree in your answer. Correctly label the branch probabilities and the probability ofreaching each terminal node.)

Answer 1

P(Win)=0.5515 refer to this Probability Tree.