For this problem, carry at least four digits after the decimal in your calculations. Answers may vary slightly due to rounding. The National Council of Small Businesses is interested in the proportion of small businesses that declared Chapter 11 bankruptcy last year. Since there are so many small businesses, the National Council intends to estimate the proportion from a random sample. Let p be the proportion of small businesses that declared Chapter 11 bankruptcy last year. (a) If no preliminary sample is taken to estimate p, how large a sample is necessary to be 95% sure that a point estimate p̂ will be within a distance of 0.09 from p? (Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.) Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect. small businesses (b) In a preliminary random sample of 30 small businesses, it was found that ten had declared Chapter 11 bankruptcy. How many more small businesses should be included in the sample to be 95% sure that a point estimate p̂ will be within a distance of 0.090 from p? (Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.) Incorrect: Your answer is incorrect. more small businesses
Solution :
Given that Margin of error E = 0.090
=> For 95% confidence level, Z = 1.96
(a)
=> If no preliminary sample is taken to estimate p, then we
assume p = 0.5
=> q = 1 - p = 0.5
=> Sample size n = p*q*(Z/E)^2
= 0.5*0.5*(1.96/0.090)^2
= 118.5679
= 119 (nearest whole number)
(b)
=> Given that n = 30 , x = 10
=> p = x/n
= 10/30
= 0.3333
=> q = 1 - p = 0.6667
=> Sample size n = p*q*(Z/E)^2
= 0.3333*0.6667*(1.96/0.090)^2
= 105.3884
= 106 (nearest whole number)
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