Question

When do we use The Law of Total Probability as opposed to Bayes Theorem?

When do we use The Law of Total Probability as opposed to Bayes Theorem?

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Answer #1

we know that the Bayes theorem is used to find the conditional probability of an event whent the probability of other events are given, i.e. the probability of an event when other event occurred, but the law of total probability is used in a different situation.

When we have disjoint sets or mutually exclusive sets, then the probability of an event is calculated using the low of total probability by knowing the intersection of the given event with other events. These probabilities of intersection with other events are combined to get the probability of the disjoint set.

So, the law of total probability is used when we have mutually exclusive events.

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