A random sample of 42 firms was chosen from the S&P 500 firms listed in the Spring 2003 Special Issue of Business Week (The Business Week Fifty Best Performers). The indicated dividend yield (DIVYIELD), the earnings per share (EPS), and the stock price (PRICE) were recorded for these 42 firms.† These data are available in the worksheet entitled DIV4. Run a regression using DIVYIELD as the dependent variable and EPS and PRICE as the independent variables. Use the output to answer the following questions.
(a) What is the sample regression equation relating DIVYIELD to PRICE and EPS? (Round your answers to three decimal places.)
DIVYIELD = + PRICE
+ EPS
(b) What percentage of the variation of DIVYIELD has been explained by the regression? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
%
(c) Test the overall fit of the regression. Use a 10% level of
significance.
State the hypotheses to be tested.
H0: β1 =
β2 = 0
Ha: At least one of the coefficients
is not equal to 0.H0: At least one of the
coefficients is not equal to 0.
Ha: β1 =
β2 =
0 H0: None of the
coefficients are equal to zero.
Ha: β1 =
β2 = 0H0:
β1 = β2 = 0
Ha: None of the coefficients are equal
to zero.
State the decision rule.
Reject H0 if p < 0.10.
Do not reject H0 if p ≥ 0.10.Reject
H0 if p > 0.05.
Do not reject H0 if p ≤
0.05. Reject H0 if
p > 0.10.
Do not reject H0 if p ≤ 0.10.Reject
H0 if p < 0.05.
Do not reject H0 if p ≥ 0.05.
State the appropriate test statistic name, degrees of freedom, test
statistic value, and the associated p-value (Enter the
degrees of freedom as a whole number, the test statistic value to
three decimal places, and the p-value to four decimal
places).
---Select--- μ z G F t
( , )
= , p ---Select--- ≤ ≥ < >
=
(d) What conclusion can be drawn from the test result?
Do not reject H0. Neither variable appears to be useful in explaining the variation in dividend yield.Do not reject H0. At least one of the coefficients is equal to zero. The model is not useful in explaining the variation in dividend yield. Reject H0. At least one of the coefficients is equal to zero. The model is not useful in explaining the variation in dividend yield.Reject H0. Neither variable appears to be useful in explaining the variation in dividend yield.
(e) Is it necessary to test each coefficient individually to see if
either PRICE or EPS is related to DIVYIELD? Why or why not?
Yes. Since we tested them together, we can only confirm that at least one coefficient is equal to zero.Yes. Since we tested them together, we can only confirm that at least one coefficient is related to DIVYIELD. No. From the overall fit test we know that both coefficients are related to DIVYIELD.No. From the overall fit we know that neither coefficient is significant.
Company Name | DIVYIELD | PRICE | EPS |
Delphi | 3.62 | 8 | 0.61 |
Liz Claiborne | 0.8 | 28 | 2.16 |
Snap-On | 4 | 14 | 1.76 |
Darden Restaurants | 0.45 | 18 | 1.37 |
Tribune | 0.98 | 45 | 1.8 |
Interpublic Group | 3.94 | 10 | 0.77 |
TJX | 0.75 | 16 | 1.08 |
Dollar General | 1.23 | 10 | 0.76 |
Circuit City Stores | 1.58 | 4 | 0.57 |
Winn-Dixie Stores | 1.64 | 12 | 1.65 |
Kellogg | 3.42 | 30 | 1.75 |
Campbell Soup | 3.04 | 21 | 1.39 |
Exxon Mobil | 2.7 | 34 | 1.61 |
EOG Resources | 0.39 | 41 | 0.65 |
Washington Mutual | 3.36 | 35 | 4.05 |
North Fork Bancorporation | 3.35 | 32 | 2.58 |
Union Planters | 4.85 | 28 | 2.59 |
Bank of New York | 3.34 | 23 | 1.24 |
Household International | 3.58 | 28 | 3.22 |
Charles Schwab | 0.56 | 8 | 0.52 |
American International Group | 0.38 | 49 | 2.1 |
Loews | 1.37 | 44 | 4.65 |
Simon Property Group | 6.93 | 35 | 1.93 |
Stryker | 0.18 | 65 | 1.7 |
Baxter International | 2.05 | 28 | 1.67 |
Eli Lilly | 2.37 | 57 | 2.5 |
Bristol-Myers Squibb | 4.81 | 23 | 0.12 |
General Electric | 3.16 | 24 | 1.51 |
Rockwell Collins | 1.83 | 20 | 1.29 |
Cummins | 5.01 | 24 | 1.82 |
First Data | 0.23 | 35 | 1.62 |
Deluxe | 3.67 | 40 | 3.36 |
Union Pacific | 1.67 | 55 | 5.05 |
Autodesk | 0.83 | 14 | 0.28 |
Scientific-Atlanta | 0.31 | 13 | 0.35 |
International Flavors & Fragrances | 1.91 | 31 | 1.84 |
Eastman Chemical | 5.47 | 32 | 1.02 |
Alltel | 3.22 | 43 | 2.96 |
Dominion Resources | 4.79 | 54 | 4.82 |
Cinergy | 5.71 | 32 | 2.34 |
Peoples Energy | 5.92 | 36 | 2.51 |
Nicor | 6.12 | 30 | 2.94 |
Here we are using regression function of excel
SUMMARY OUTPUT | ||||||||
Regression Statistics | ||||||||
Multiple R | 0.295464 | |||||||
R Square | 0.087299 | |||||||
Adjusted R Square | 0.040494 | |||||||
Standard Error | 1.843435 | |||||||
Observations | 42 | |||||||
ANOVA | ||||||||
df | SS | MS | F | Significance F | ||||
Regression | 2 | 12.67655 | 6.338276 | 1.865158 | 0.168425 | |||
Residual | 39 | 132.5318 | 3.398252 | |||||
Total | 41 | 145.2084 | ||||||
Coefficients | Standard Error | t Stat | P-value | Lower 95% | Upper 95% | Lower 95.0% | Upper 95.0% | |
Intercept | 2.450218 | 0.652922 | 3.752694 | 0.000569 | 1.129558 | 3.770878 | 1.129558 | 3.770878 |
PRICE | -0.02931 | 0.025961 | -1.12902 | 0.265786 | -0.08182 | 0.023201 | -0.08182 | 0.023201 |
EPS | 0.604067 | 0.313829 | 1.92483 | 0.061567 | -0.03071 | 1.238846 | -0.03071 | 1.238846 |
Here the equation is
DIVYIELD = 2.45022 - 0.02931 * Price + 0.6041 * EPS
(b) Here
R2= 0.0873
so here8.73 percentage of the variation of DIVYIELD has been explained by the regression.
(c)
H0: β1 = β2 = 0
Ha: At least one of the coefficients is not equal to 0
Do not reject H0 if p ≥ 0.10.
associted p - value = 0.16 which is greater than 0.10 so p > 0.10
State the appropriate test statistic name is F test
degrees of freedom
Regression = 2
Residual = 39
Test statistic value = F = 1.865
Associated p-value = 0.1684
(d)
Do not reject H0. Neither variable appears to be useful in explaining the variation in dividend yield.
(e) No. From the overall fit we know that neither coefficient is significant.
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