In 2006, a study was conducted to compare two methods for assisting people experiencing trouble breathing as a result of an airway blockage. In Pittsburg, 350 patients were assigned randomly to one of two treatments: 150 to treatment 1 and 200 to treatment 2. A total of 250 patients survived the obstruction: 95 in the group receiving treatment 1 and 155 in the group receiving treatment 2. A test of significance was conducted on these hypotheses:
H0: The survival rates for the two treatments are
equal.
Ha: Treatment 2 produces a higher survival rate.
The statistical test resulted in a p-value of 0.0018.
Part A: What does the p-value measure in the context of this study? (3 points)
Part B: Based on this p-value and the study design, what conclusion can be drawn in the context of this study? Use a significance level of α = 0.05. (4 points)
Part C: Based on your conclusion in part B, which type of error—Type I or Type II—could have been made? What is one potential consequence of this error? (3 points) (10 points)
A. If there is no difference between the two treatments, the
there is about a 0.18% chance of seeing the observed difference or
larger by natural sampling variation.
B. Since, p-value < 0.05, so we can reject H0. Hence, the
conclusion is that treatement 2 produces a higher survival
rate.
C. Type I error is made when we reject H0 while it is actually
true. Hence, we could have made type I error.
Possible consequence of this error is that we concluded that the
treatment 2 produces a higher survival rate, when actually both the
treatment produce the same survival rate.
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