Environmental engineers are using data collected by weather data centers to learn how climate affects the sea ice. Of 515 ice melt ponds studied in a certain region, 78 were classified as having "first-year ice". The researchers estimated that about 15% of melt ponds in the region have first-year ice. Estimate, with 90% confidence, the percentage of all ice-melt ponds in the region that have first-year ice. Give a practical interpretation of the results.
Construct a 90% confidence interval around the sample proportion of ice melt ponds with the first-year ice.
Given : n=515 , X=78
The estimate of the sample proportion is ,
Now , the critical value is , ; From Z-table
Therefore , the 90% confidence interval around the sample proportion of ice melt ponds with the first-year ice is ,
Now , the null and alternative hypothesis is ,
Here , the value 0.15 lies in the confidence interval.
Therefore , fail to reject Ho.
Conclusion : The researchers estimated that about 15% of melt ponds in the region have first-year ice
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