Question

An airline company is considering a new policy of booking as many as 191 persons on an airplane that can seat only 170. (Past studies have revealed that only 81% of the booked passengers actually arrive for the flight.) Estimate the probability that if the company books 191 persons. not enough seats will be available.

Answer #1

Air-USA has a policy of booking as many as 21 persons on an
airplane that can seat only 20. (Past studies have revealed that
only 85% of the booked passengers actually arrive for the
flight.)
Find the probability that if Air-USA books 21 persons, not enough
seats will be available.
prob =
Is this probability low enough so that overbooking is not a real
concern for passengers if you define unusual as 5% or less?
no, it is not low...

When someone buys a ticket for an airline flight, there is a
0.0995 probability that the person will not show up for the flight.
If 24 persons are booked on an airplane that can seat only 22, find
the probability that not enough seats will be available.

Question of probability and stats:
An airline finds that, on the average, 3% of the persons who
reserve seats for a certain flight do not turn up for the flight.
Consequently, the airline decides to allow 200 people to reserve
seats on a plane which can only accommodate 196 passengers. Use the
Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution to calculate the
probability that there will be a seat available for every person
who has reserved a seat and who turns...

In this exercise we examine the effects of overbooking in the
airline industry. Ontario Gateway Airlines' first class cabins have
10 seats in each plane. Ontario's overbooking policy is to sell up
to 11 first class tickets, since cancellations and no-shows are
always possible (and indeed are quite likely). For a given flight
on Ontario Gateway, there were 11 first class tickets sold. Suppose
that each of the 11 persons who purchased tickets has a 20% chance
of not showing...

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