1. Insurance companies are interested in knowing the population percent of drivers who always buckle up before riding in a car.
When designing a study to determine this population proportion,
what is the minimum number of drivers you would need to survey to
be 95% confident that the population proportion is estimated to
within 0.04? (Round your answer up to the nearest whole
number.)
2. According to a poll, 75% of California adults (377 out of 506 surveyed) feel that education is one of the top issues facing California. We wish to construct a 90% confidence interval for the true proportion of California adults who feel that education is one of the top issues facing California.
Find a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion.
(Round your answers to three decimal places.)
( ? , ? )
1. Solution :
Given that margin of error E = 0.04
=> if we don't know, assume that p = q = 0.5
=> for 95% confidence level, Z = 1.96
=> Sample size n = p*q*(Z/E)^2
= 0.5*0.5*(1.96/0.04)^2
= 600.25
= 600 (nearest whole number)
2. Solution :
Given that p = 0.75 , n = 506
=> q = 1 - p = 0.25
=> for 90% confidence level, Z = 1.645
=> A 90% confidence interval of the population proportion is
=> p +/- Z*sqrt(p*q/n)
=> 0.75 +/- 1.645*sqrt(0.75*0.25/506)
=> (0.7183,0.7817)
=> (0.718,0.782) (rounded)
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