Hillsdale College has sold out all tickets for a jazz concert to be held in the stadium. If it rains, the show will have to be moved to the gym, which has a much smaller capacity. The dean must decide in advance whether to set up the seats and the stage in the gym or in the stadium, or both, just in case. The payoff matrix below shows the net profit in each case.
States of Nature |
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Rain |
No Rain |
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Set Up in Stadium |
left bracket Start 3 By 2 Matrix 1st
Row 1st Column $ minus 1200 2nd Column $ 2100 2nd Row 1st Column $
950 2nd Column $ 1040 3rd Row 1st Column $ 900 2nd Column $ 1150
EndMatrix right bracket
|
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Strategies |
Set Up in Gym |
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Set Up in Both |
If the weather forecaster predicts rain with a probability of
0.70.7,
what strategy should the dean choose to maximize expected profit?
A.
Set Up in Stadium
B.
Set Up in Gym
C.
Set Up in Both
What is the maximum expected profit?
$nothing
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