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Based on pretrial speculation, the probability that a jury returns a guilty verdict in a certain...

Based on pretrial speculation, the probability that a jury returns a guilty verdict in a certain high-profile murder case is thought to be 15% if the defense can discredit the police department and 80% if they cannot. Veteran court observers believe that the skilled defense attorneys have a 70% chance of convincing the jury that the police either contaminated or planted some of the key evidence. What is the probability that the defense attorneys discredit the police but the jury still convicts their client?

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