In a survey of 2363 adults in a recent year, 1366 say they have made a New Year's resolution.
Construct 90% and 95% confidence intervals for the population proportion. Interpret the results and compare the widths of the confidence intervals.
A. The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is (__,__)
Solution :
Given that n = 2363 , x = 1366
=> Proportion p = x/n
= 1366/2363
= 0.5781
=> q = 1 - p = 0.4219
A.
=> for 90% confidence interval, Z = 1.645
=> The 90% confidence interval for the population proportion p is
=> p +/- Z*sqrt(p*q/n)
=> 0.5781 +/- 1.645*sqrt(0.5781*0.4219/2363)
=> (0.5614,0.5948)
B.
=> for 95% confidence interval, Z = 1.96
=> The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is
=> p +/- Z*sqrt(p*q/n)
=> 0.5781 +/- 1.96*sqrt(0.5781*0.4219/2363)
=> (0.5582,0.5980)
=> With the given confidence,it can be said that the population proportion of adults who say they have made a new years resolution is between the endpoints of the given confidence interval.
=> The 95% confidence interval is wider than 90% confidence
interval
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