The data The state of California operates numerous meteorological stations. One of the many functions of each station is to monitor rainfall on a daily basis. This information is then used to produce an average annual precipitation level for each station. CALIRAIN.txt lists average annual precipitation levels (in inches) for a sample of 30 meteorological stations scattered throughout the state. The data set contains average annual precipitation (y), and the most impact on the amount of rainfall at each station, as follows:
1. Altitude of the station (x1, feet)
2. Latitude of the station (x2, degrees)
3. Distance of the station from the Pacific coast (x3, miles)
Station Name Precip Altitude Latitude Distance Shadow 1 Eureka 39.57 43 40.8 1 W 2 RedBluff 23.27 341 40.2 97 L 3 Thermal 18.20 4152 33.8 70 L 4 FortBragg 37.48 74 39.4 1 W 5 SodaSprings 49.26 6752 39.3 150 W 6 SanFrancisco 21.82 52 37.8 5 W 7 Sacramento 18.07 25 38.5 80 L 8 SanJose 14.17 95 37.4 28 L 9 GiantForest 42.63 6360 36.6 145 W 10 Salinas 13.85 74 36.7 12 L 11 Fresno 9.44 331 36.7 114 L 12 PtPiedras 19.33 57 35.7 1 W 13 PasaRobles 15.67 740 35.7 31 L 14 Bakersfield 6.00 489 35.4 75 L 15 Bishop 5.73 4108 37.3 198 L 16 Mineral 47.82 4850 40.4 142 W 17 SantaBarbara 17.95 120 34.4 1 W 18 Susanville 18.20 4152 40.3 198 L 19 TuleLake 10.03 4036 41.9 140 L 20 Needles 4.63 913 34.8 192 L 21 Burbank 14.74 699 34.2 47 W 22 LosAngeles 15.02 312 34.1 16 W 23 LongBeach 12.36 50 33.8 12 W 24 LosBanos 8.26 125 37.8 74 L 25 Blythe 4.05 268 33.6 155 L 26 SanDiego 9.94 19 32.7 5 W 27 Daggett 4.25 2105 34.1 85 L 28 DeathValley 1.66 -178 36.5 194 L 29 CrescentCity 74.87 35 41.7 1 W 30 Colusa 15.95 60 39.2 91 L
The data The state of California operates numerous meteorological stations. One of the many functions of each station is to monitor rainfall on a daily basis. This information is then used to produce an average annual precipitation level for each station. CALIRAIN.txt lists average annual precipitation levels (in inches) for a sample of 30 meteorological stations scattered throughout the state. The data set contains average annual precipitation (y), and the most impact on the amount of rainfall at each station, as follows:
1. Altitude of the station (x1, feet)
2. Latitude of the station (x2, degrees)
3. Distance of the station from the Pacific coast (x3, miles)
Excel Addon Megastat used.
Menu used: correlation/Regression ---- Regression Analysis.
Regression Analysis |
||||||
R² |
0.600 |
|||||
Adjusted R² |
0.554 |
n |
30 |
|||
R |
0.775 |
k |
3 |
|||
Std. Error |
11.098 |
Dep. Var. |
Precip |
|||
ANOVA table |
||||||
Source |
SS |
df |
MS |
F |
p-value |
|
Regression |
4,809.3560 |
3 |
1,603.1187 |
13.02 |
2.21E-05 |
|
Residual |
3,202.2976 |
26 |
123.1653 |
|||
Total |
8,011.6536 |
29 |
||||
Regression output |
confidence interval |
|||||
variables |
coefficients |
std. error |
t (df=26) |
p-value |
95% lower |
95% upper |
Intercept |
-102.3574 |
29.2055 |
-3.505 |
.0017 |
-162.3902 |
-42.3247 |
Altitude |
0.0041 |
0.0012 |
3.358 |
.0024 |
0.0016 |
0.0066 |
Latitude |
3.4511 |
0.7949 |
4.342 |
.0002 |
1.8172 |
5.0849 |
Distance |
-0.1429 |
0.0363 |
-3.931 |
.0006 |
-0.2176 |
-0.0682 |
The regression line is
Y=-102.3574+0.0041*x1+3.4511*x2-0.1429*x3
Calculated F= 13.02 , p=0.000 which is < 0.05 level of significance.
Ho is rejected.
The regression model is significant.
All x1, x2 and x3 are significant.
R square =0.600. 60% of variance in y is explained by the model.
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