A Canadian male has recently had a Prostate Specific Antigen
(PSA) test as to determine if he has prostate cancer. The
false-positive rate of a PSA test is 13%. If he does have prostate
cancer, PSA test will be positive 80% of the time.
Because this male is showing symptoms that are consistent with
prostate cancer, it is assumed that the chance he has prostate
cancer prior to taking the PSA test is 0.15.
Part (a) What is the probability that the PSA test
will yield a positive result?
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(use four decimals in your answer)
Part (b) If the PSA test gives a positive result,
what is the probability that he does not have prostate cancer?
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(use four decimals)
Part (c) Suppose the PSA test result is negative, indicating that he does not have prostate cancer and his symptoms are a result of something else. What is the probability that he does have prostate cancer?
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(use four decimals)
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