Question

Consider the following three sequences of one hundred heads and tails each: Sequence #1: HTTHHHTTHTTHHTTHTTHTTTTHHHTTTHHTHTTHHTTTTHTTTTTHHT HTHTHHHTTTHTHHTHHTHHTHTTHTTHTTHHHHHHHTHHTTTTTHHHHH...

Consider the following three sequences of one hundred heads and tails each:

Sequence #1:

    HTTHHHTTHTTHHTTHTTHTTTTHHHTTTHHTHTTHHTTTTHTTTTTHHT
    HTHTHHHTTTHTHHTHHTHHTHTTHTTHTTHHHHHHHTHHTTTTTHHHHH

Sequence #2:

    HHTHTTTHTTHTHHHTTTHTTHHHTHTTTHTHHHTHTHTTTHTTTTHHHT
    THTTTHTTHHHTHTHHTTTHHHTTTHTHTTHTHTHTTTHTTHHTHHTTTH

Sequence #3:

    THTHTHHTHHHTTTHHHTTTTTTTTTHHHTTTHHHTHTHHHTHTTTHTHH
    THTTHHHTTTTTTTHHTHHHHHTHHHHHHHHTHHHHHTTHHHHTTHTTHT

At least one of these sequences was generated by actually tossing a quarter one hundred times, and at least one was generated by a human sitting at a computer and hitting the “H” and “T” keys one hundred times between them and trying (possibly not very hard) to make it seem random.

1. Try to figure out which of these sequences were generated by actually tossing a coin and which were generated a human trying to be random. Give your reasoning! [10]

Homework Answers

Answer #1

Sequence 1 and Sequence 2 appears to be the ones generated by actually tossing a coin. In these, the distribution of heads and tails is pretty much even and there are no long sequences of heads or tails. In a random sequence, we dont expect to see same outcome repeating many times in a row.

Sequence 3 appears to be the one generated by a human typing. There is a string of 9 T's and another string of 8 H's etc in the sequence. This does not appear random. We dont expect the human typing scenario to be completely random. Therefore, sequence 3 is most likely the one created by human typing.

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