Question

The USGS published seismic prediction data for California in a report several years ago. Let’s examine some of the published statistics. a) The report breaks California into two regions – Northern and Southern California. It indicates that there is a 36% chance of an earthquake magnitude ≥7.5 in Southern California in the next 30 years. The corresponding value for Northern California is 28%. Assuming the fault lines are independent, what is the probability of magnitude ≥7.5 anywhere in California in the next 30 years?

Answer 1

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