Question

An extremely simple (and surely unreliable) weather prediction model would be one where days are of two types: sunny or rainy. A sunny day is 90% likely to be followed by another sunny day, and a rainy day is 50% likely to be followed by another rainy day. Model this as a Markov chain. If Sunday is sunny, what is the probability that Tuesday (two days later) is also sunny? (Hint: What did I say in the video about 2-step probabilities?)

Answer 1