Following are time-series data for ten different periods. Use exponential smoothing to forecast the values for periods 3 through 10. Use the value for the first period as the forecast for the second period. Compute forecasts using α = 0.8. Compute the MAD and MSE.
Time period | Value |
1 | 27 |
2 | 31 |
3 | 58 |
4 | 63 |
5 | 59 |
6 | 66 |
7 | 71 |
8 | 86 |
9 | 101 |
10 | 97 |
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