Consider the following time series data:
Month | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Value | 25 | 14 | 19 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 14 |
(a) | Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. |
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. | |
What is the forecast for month 8? | |
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |
(b) | Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. |
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. | |
What is the forecast for month 8? | |
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. | |
(c) | Which method appears to provide the better forecast? |
- Select your answer -Naïve, All data average |
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