Almost three-fourths of US pecans are grown in the states of GA, NM, and TX. It is known that the average yield of pecans in Dona Ana County μ = 1625 lbs/acre with a standard deviation of σ = 200 lbs/acre. Are the following statements true or false.
If a RANDOM SAMPLE of 18 acres of land is taken, the probability of the average yield of these 18 acres being at most 1700 lbs/acre would be .9441.
If the average yield from a RANDOM SAMPLE of 18 acres of land is 1700 lbs/acre, this sample average would fall above the 95th percentile of all such sample means.
ANSWER::
Here average yield = = 1625 lbs.acre
Standard deviation = = 200 lbs.acre
(a)
ample size = n = 18
standard error = /sqrt(n) = 200/sqrt(18) = 47.14 lbs/acre
P( 1700) = NORMSDIST( 1700; 1625; 47.14)
z = (1700 - 1625)/47.14 = 1.591
so using NORMSDIST function or using z table
P( 1700) = P(Z < 1.591) = 0.9441
so the statement is true here.
(b)
The statement is false here. The sample average will fall below the 95th percentile of all such sample means.
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