900 draws will be made at random with replacement from the box [2 4 6 8]. Estimate the chance that the sum of the draws will be more than 4,600. (Round two decimals)
x | P(X=x) | xP(x) | x2P(x) |
2 | 0.250 | 0.50000 | 1.00000 |
4 | 0.250 | 1.00000 | 4.00000 |
6 | 0.250 | 1.50000 | 9.00000 |
8 | 0.250 | 2.00000 | 16.00000 |
total | 5.0000 | 30.0000 | |
E(x) =μ= | ΣxP(x) = | 5.0000 | |
E(x2) = | Σx2P(x) = | 30.0000 | |
Var(x)=σ2 = | E(x2)-(E(x))2= | 5.0000 | |
std deviation= | σ= √σ2 = | 2.2361 |
expected sum of 900 draws =900*5 =4500
and standard deviation =2.2361*√900 =67.082
from normal approximation:
chance that the sum of the draws will be more than 4,600 :
P(X>4600)=P(Z>(4600-4500)/67.082)=P(Z>1.49)=0.07
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