The scores of 12th-grade students on the National Assessment of Educational Progress year 2000 mathematics test have a distribution that is approximately Normal with mean ? = 271 and standard deviation ? = 32 . Choose one 12th-grader at random. What is the probability (±0.1, that is round to one decimal place) that his or her score is higher than 271 ? Higher than 367 (±0.0001; that is round to 4 decimal places)? Now choose an SRS of 16 twelfth-graders and calculate their mean score x???. If you did this many times, what would be the mean of all the x???-values? What would be the standard deviation (±0.1; that is round to one decimal place) of all the x???-values? What is the probability that the mean score for your SRS is higher than 271 ? (±0.1; that is round to 1 decimal place) Higher than 367 ? (±0.0001; that is round to 4 decimal places)
a)
mu= 271
sigma= 32
X= 271
Z=(X-mu)/sigma
=(271-271)/32
=0
probability =P(Z>0)
=0.5
for higher than 367
mu= 271
sigma= 32
X= 367
Z=(X-mu)/sigma
=(367-271)/32
=3
probability =P(Z>3)
=0.00135
b)
sample mean=271
sample standard deviation=sigma/sqrt(n)
=32/(sqrt(16))
=32/4=8
now higher than 271
=
=0
required probability =P(Z>0)=0.5
now for higher than 367
=
=12
P(Z>12)=0.0000
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