Exhibit 17-1
Below you are given the first five values of a quarterly time series. The multiplicative model is appropriate and a four-quarter moving average will be used.
Year |
Quarter |
Time Series Value Yt |
1 |
1 |
36 |
2 |
24 |
|
3 |
16 |
|
2 |
4 |
20 |
1 |
44 |
Refer to Exhibit 17-1. An estimate of the trend component times the cyclical component (T2Ct) for Quarter 3 of Year 1, when a four-quarter moving average is used, is
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