a) Based on the following regression whose output estimates the forward P/E ratio for the media industry, estimate the price for CanWest if it just announced earnings of $2.75 per share and has the following known characteristics: Beta = 1.3, Payout = 0.55, Earnings Growth = 0.07
Regression Statistics Multiple:
R 0.534936
R Square 0.286157
Adjusted R Square 0.195028
Standard Error 0.038288
Observations 54
Coefficients |
Standard Error |
t Stat |
P-value |
||
Intercept |
14.23657 |
2.41333 |
5.89914 |
0.000062 |
|
Beta |
-0.10747 |
0.136177 |
-0.78923 |
0.433942 |
|
Payout |
-0.61999 |
0.274706 |
-2.25693 |
0.028702 |
|
Earnings Growth |
5.12223 |
2.45351 |
2.087717 |
0.04227 |
b) How reliable is this estimate and how do you know?
c) Describe a rational narrative in which a high P/E ratio suggests a good investment opportunity.
d) Describe a rational narrative in which a low P/E ratio suggests a good investment opportunity.
e) Why would the Price / Cash Flow ratio be more informative for high Beta companies during a recession than the Price / Earnings ratio?
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