Consider the actual and forecast values contained in the table. What is the MAD of the forecast?
Actual | Forecast | Actual | Forecast |
10 | 10.8 | 26 | 24.5 |
13 | 13.6 | 28 | 27.2 |
17 | 16.3 | 29 | 29.9 |
19 | 19 | 32 | 32.6 |
22 | 21.7 | 35 | 35.3 |
Solution:
We have to find MAD of the forecast.
That is: Mean Absolute Deviation of the forecast.
Formula:
At = Actual values and Ft = Forecasted values.
Thus
Actual | Forecast | Calculations: | |At -Ft| |
---|---|---|---|
10 | 10.8 | =| 10-10.8 |= | 0.8 |
13 | 13.6 | =| 13-13.6 |= | 0.6 |
17 | 16.3 | =| 17-16.3 |= | 0.7 |
19 | 19 | =| 19-19 |= | 0 |
22 | 21.7 | =| 22-21.7 |= | 0.3 |
26 | 24.5 | =| 26-24.5 |= | 1.5 |
28 | 27.2 | =| 28-27.2 |= | 0.8 |
29 | 29.9 | =| 29-29.9 |= | 0.9 |
32 | 32.6 | =| 32-32.6 |= | 0.6 |
35 | 35.3 | =| 35-35.3 |= | 0.3 |
Thus
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