In a poll, 51% of the people polled answered yes to the question "Are you in favor of the death penalty for a person convicted of murder?" The margin of error in the poll was 2%, and the estimate was made with 96% confidence. At least how many people were surveyed?
Solution :
Given that,
= 0.51
1 - = 1 - 0.51 = 0.49
margin of error = E = 2% = 0.02
At 96% confidence level the z is,
= 1 - 96%
= 1 - 0.96 = 0.04
/2 = 0.02
Z/2 = 2.05 ( Using z table )
Sample size = n = (Z/2 / E)2 * * (1 - )
= (2.05 / 0.02)2 * 0.51 * 0.49
=2626
Sample size = 2626
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