A game show contestant is offered the option of receiving a computer system worth $2300 or accepting a chance to win either a luxury vacation worth $4900 or a boat worth $6500. If the second option is chosen the contestant's probabilities of winning the vacation or the boat are 0.20 and 0.15, respectively. If the contestant were to turn down the computer system and go for one of the other prizes, what would be the expected winnings?
SOLUTION :
From the given data
A Game show is offering computer system worth $ 2300 accepting a chance to win either a luxury vacation worth $4900 or a boat $6500
if the second option is chosen the probability of winning the vacation or boat are 0.20, 0.15 respectively
now the Expected Winnings (x)
probability of winning a computer system = x * p(x)
= $2300 ( there is no winning probability )
probability of winning a vacation = x * p(x)
= 0.20 * $4900
= $980
probability of winning a Boat = x * p(x)
=0.15*6500
= $975
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