A clinical trial tests a method designed to increase the probability of conceiving a girl. In the study 606 babies were born, and 303 of them were girls. Use the sample data to construct a
99% confidence interval estimate of the percentage of girls born. Based on the result, does the method appear to be effective?
____ < p < _____
Solution :
Given that,
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 303 / 606 = 0.500
1 - = 1 - 0.500 = 0.5
Z/2 = 2.576
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * (( * (1 - )) / n)
= 2.576 * (((0.500 * 0.5) / 606)
Margin of error = E = 0.052
A 99% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.500 - 0.052 < p < 0.500 + 0.052
0.448 < p < 0.552
The 99% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.448 , 0.552
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