Question

Below is a payoff table involving three states of nature and three decision alternatives. Decision States...

Below is a payoff table involving three states of nature and three decision alternatives. Decision States of Nature Alternative s1 s2 s3 A –20 10 15 B 16 –5 8 C 15 25 –10 The probability of occurrence of s1 is .2, and the probability of occurrence of s2 is .3. The expected value of alternative C is _____.

Homework Answers

Know the answer?
Your Answer:

Post as a guest

Your Name:

What's your source?

Earn Coins

Coins can be redeemed for fabulous gifts.

Not the answer you're looking for?
Ask your own homework help question
Similar Questions
The following payoff table shows profits for two decision alternatives under three different states of nature....
The following payoff table shows profits for two decision alternatives under three different states of nature. It is known that the probability of the occurrence of state of nature 1 is 0.1. Profit State of Nature 1 State of Nature 2 State of Nature 3 Decision Alternative 1 10 13 9 Decision Alternative 2 15 9 10 [4] What should the probabilities of states of nature 2 and 3 be so that the expected values of the two decision alternatives...
The following payoff table shows profits for two decision alternatives under three different states of nature....
The following payoff table shows profits for two decision alternatives under three different states of nature. It is known that the probability of the occurrence of state of nature 1 is 0.1. Profit State of Nature 1 State of Nature 2 State of Nature 3 Decision Alternative 1 10 13 9 Decision Alternative 2 15 9 10 [4] What should the probabilities of states of nature 2 and 3 be so that the expected values of the two decision alternatives...
Suppose a decision maker is considering three decision alternatives: A1, A2, and A3. Three potential states...
Suppose a decision maker is considering three decision alternatives: A1, A2, and A3. Three potential states of nature have been identified: S1, S2, and S3. The payoff for each combination of alternative and state of nature has been estimated and appears in the following payoff table: S1 S2 S3 A1 113 96 -65 A2 117 62 -52 A3 32 45 40 Calculate the regret (or opportunity loss) value for the combination of A2 and S2.
The following payoff table shows a profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives...
The following payoff table shows a profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature. In order to get full credit, show your all work done step by step including cell calculations using excel functions. State of Nature Decion Alternatives s1 s2 s3 d1 250 100 50 d2 100 75 100 a) Construct a decision tree for this problem. b) Suppose that the decision-maker obtains the probabilities P(s1)=0.65, P(s2)=0.15, and P(s3)=0.20. Use the expected...
Consider the following Profit Payoff Table: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 250...
Consider the following Profit Payoff Table: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 250 100 25 d2 100 100 75 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(S1) = 0.65, P(S2) = 0.15, and P(S3) = 0.20. What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part (a)? Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its...
The following table lists the profitability of four alternatives and states of nature that a manger...
The following table lists the profitability of four alternatives and states of nature that a manger faces. Alternative S1 S2 S3 S4 D1 14 9 10 5 D2 11 10 8 7 D3 9 10 10 11 D4 8 10 11 13 Probability 10% 20% 40% 30% The EVPI is
Problem 13-14 (Algorithmic) The following profit payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with...
Problem 13-14 (Algorithmic) The following profit payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 250 100 100 d2 200 100 150 The probabilities for the states of nature are P(s1) = 0.45, P(s2) = 0.25 and P(s3) = 0.3. What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available? S1 : S2 : S3 : What is the expected value...
Consider the following payoff table that represents the profits earned for each alternative (A, B, and...
Consider the following payoff table that represents the profits earned for each alternative (A, B, and C) under the states of nature S1, S2, and S3. S1 S2 S3 A $60 $145 $120    B $75 $125 $110 C $95 $85 $130 Refer to the payoff table. What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)? Assume P(S1) = 0.5 and P(S2) = 0.25. (Points : 2)
Problem 13-01 (Algorithmic) The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two...
Problem 13-01 (Algorithmic) The following payoff table shows profit for a decision analysis problem with two decision alternatives and three states of nature: State of Nature Decision Alternative S1 S2 S3 d1 260 140 100 d2 170 130 50 Choose the correct decision tree for this problem. (i) d2d1s3s2s1s3s2s1 (ii) d2d1s3s3s2s2s1s1 (iii) s3s2s1d2d1d2d1d2d1 (iv) d2d1s3s2s1s3s2s1 If the decision maker knows nothing about the probabilities of the three states of nature, what is the recommended decision using the optimistic, conservative, and...
Q.1 Payoff Table: Choices: D1, D2, D3. States of Nature: S1, S2, S3. Profit( in millions)...
Q.1 Payoff Table: Choices: D1, D2, D3. States of Nature: S1, S2, S3. Profit( in millions) for each of the States of Nature are given below: For D1: $100, $400, $500. For D2:-$100, $500, $900. For D3: -$200, $500, $1600. P(s1)=0.4, P(s2)=0.4, P(s3)=0.2. Sample Information Data: Market Research Firm provides following data: conditional probabilities: P(Fav/s1)= 0.40, P(Fav/s2)= 0.5, P(Fav/s3)= 0.9. Then P(Fav)= .54 For the data given in Q.1, compute revised probabilities, draw the decision tree, and enter the payoff...