Consider the following investment offers regarding a product you have recently developed. A 10% interest rate should be used throughout this analysis unless otherwise specified:
Offer (I) – Receive $0.48m now and $196k from year 6 through 15. Also, if your product achieved over $100 million in cumulative sales by the end of year 15, you would receive an additional $3m. Assume that there is a 70% probability this would happen.
Offer (II) – Receive 30% of the buyer’s gross profit on the product for the next 4 years. Assume that the buyer’s gross profit margin is 60%. Sales in year 1 are projected to be $2.1m and then expected to grow by 40% per year.
Offer (III) – A trust fund would be set up, calling for semiannual payments of $201k for 8 years. On the 17th period, you would receive the compounded proceeds, which would then be discounted over the 8-year period back to the present at the specified annual rate.
Note: The term “k” is used to represent thousands (× $1,000).
Required: Determine the percentage difference between your most and least profitable alternatives, with the least profitable option as the basis for your calculation.
Solution:-
Given that,
The following investement offers regarding a product you have recently developed.A 10% interest rate should be used throught this analysis unless otherwise specified.
Offer I
Present value of the offer =
=$1730520.6801
Offer II
Amount received after one year = $2100000*60%*30% =$378000
Present value of the offer = 378000/1.1+378000*1.4/1.1^2+378000*1.4^2/1.1^3+378000*1.4^3/1.1^4
=$2046069.2575
Offer III
Present value of the offer =
=
=$2196979.04
The most profitable option is Option IIII and the least one is Option I
% difference = (2196979.04-1760520.68)/1760520.68 = 0.2479 or 24.79%
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