Question

14.1.49 Deborah is flying from Boston to Denver with a connection in Chicago. The probability her...

14.1.49

Deborah

is flying from Boston to Denver with a connection in Chicago. The probability her first flight leaves on time is

0.25

.

If the flight is on​ time, the probability that her luggage will make the connecting flight is

0.8

​,

but if the flight is​ delayed, the probability that the luggage will make it is only

0.55

.

Suppose you pick her up at the Denver airport and her luggage is not there. What is the probability that

Deborah

​'s

first flight was​ delayed?

​P(delayed)equals

nothing

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