On the basis of his sale records, a salesman knows that his weekly commissions have the probabilities shown below.
Commission | 0 | $1,000 | $2,000 | $3,000 | $4,000 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Probability | 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.46 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Find the salesman's expected commission.
$
x | P(x) | x * P(x) |
---|---|---|
0$ | 0.14 | 0.000 |
1000$ | 0.2 | 200.000 |
2000$ | 0.46 | 920.000 |
3000$ | 0.1 | 300.000 |
4000$ | 0.1 | 400.000 |
∑xi = 10000.000 | ∑ P(xi) = 1.000 | ∑ xi*P(xi) = 1820.000$ |
The expected value E(X), or mean μX of a discrete random
variable X
E(X) = μX = ∑ [ xi * P(xi) ]
E(X) = 0 * 0.14 + 1000 * 0.2 + 2000 * 0.46 + 3000 * 0.1 + 4000 *
0.1
E(X) = 0.000 + 200.000 + 920.000 + 300.000 + 400.000 =
1820.000%
E(X) = 1820.000$
therefore expected sales'man commision =1820.000$
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