6. Students in one statistics course need to earn a grade of at least C, otherwise they need to repeat the course. It is also known that 85% of all students who attend class regularly will earn a grade of at least C, while only 30% of those students who do not attend class regularly will earn a grade of at least C. Historically, 80% of all students in this course attend class regularly. You must explicitly define any events you use and justify any computations through the use of a formula.
(a) If a student is randomly selected, what is the probability that they will achieve a grade of at least C?
(b) A randomly selected student earned a grade of at least C. What is the probability that this student attended class regularly?
We have two events:
i) Getting a grade of C
ii) Regularly attending the classes
First, we need to make the distribution table:
Attends class regularly | Do not attend class regularly | Sum | |
Grade at least C | 85% of 0.80 = 0.68 | 30% of 0.20 = 0.06 | 0.74 |
Grade less than C | 0.80 - 0.68 = 0.12 | 0.20 - 0.06 = 0.14 | 0.26 |
Sum | 0.80 | 0.20 | 1 |
a) Th probability that they will achieve a grade of at least C is = 0.74
b) The probability that a student attends class regularly given that the student earned a grade of at least C is
= 0.68/0.74
= 0.9189
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