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Consider an event that will either occur or not. For example, the event might be that...

Consider an event that will either occur or not. For example, the event might be that California will experience a major earthquake in the next five years. You let p be the probability that the event will occur. Does it make any sense to have a probability distribution of p? Why or why not? If so, what might this distribution look like? How would you interpret it?

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