regional automobile dealership sent out fliers to
prospective customers indicating that they had already won one of
three different prizes: an automobile valued at
$28,000,a $125 gas card, or a $5 shopping card. To
claim his or her prize, a prospective customer needed to present
the flier at the dealership's showroom. The fine print on the back
of the flier listed the probabilities of winning. The chance of
winning the car was 1 out of 31,382,
the chance of winning the gas card was 1 out of 31,382, and the
chance of winning the shopping card was 31,380out of
31,382
Complete parts (a) through (d).
a. How many fliers do you think the
automobile dealership sent out?
_____fliers
b. Using your answer to (a) and the
probabilities listed on the flier, what is the expected value of
the prize won by a prospective customer receiving a
flier?
μ=____$nothing
(Round to the nearest cent as needed.)
d. Do you think this is an effective
promotion? Why or why not?
A.
No. The promotion will not turn a profit regardless of
how many customers redeeming fliers make a purchase.
B.
Yes. The promotion will turn a profit if any of the
customers redeeming fliers make a purchase, which is
likely.
C.
No. The promotion will only turn a profit if the
customers redeeming fliers make an average purchase less than the
expected value of the prize won, which is unlikely.
D.
Yes. The promotion will turn a profit if the customers
redeeming fliers make an average purchase greater than the expected
value of the prize won, which is likely.
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