(1 point) Rework problem 29 from section 4.1 of your text about the professor who sometimes forgets to bring her briefcase to the office, but assume that, each day, the probability that she forgets the briefcase is 1/9. Assume that her forgetting is a Bernoulli process.
(1) What is the probability that she remembers to bring her briefcase every day in one week (5 days)?
(2) What is the probability that she forgets to bring her briefcase
every day in one week (5 days)?
(3) What is the probability that she forgets to bring her briefcase
at least one day in one week (5 days)?
p = 1/9, n = 5, q = 1 - p = 1 - 1/9 = 8/9
p = probability of forgetting the briefcase on a day
q = probability of not forgetting the briefcase on a day.
1) P(she remembers to bring everyday) =
Hence probability that she remembers to bring her briefcase everyday in one week is 32768/59049 or 0.5549 (approx.)
2) P(She forgets everyday) =
Hence probability that she forgets to bring her briefcase everyday in one week is 1/59049 or 0.0000169 (approx.)
3) P(forgets at least one day) = 1 - P(remembers everyday)
Hence probability that she forgets to bring her briefcase at least one day in one week is 26281/59049 or 0.4451 (approx.)
Approx answers are from calculator.
Please comment if any doubt. Thank you.
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