Use the sample data and confidence level given below to complete parts (a) through (d).
A research institute poll asked respondents if they felt vulnerable to identity theft. In the poll, n=1075 and x=514 who said "yes." Use a 95 % confidence level.
a) Find the best point estimate of the population proportion p. _____ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
b) Identify the value of the margin of error E. E=_____(Round to three decimal places as needed.)
c) Construct the confidence interval. ___< p < ___ (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
d) Write a statement that correctly interprets the confidence interval. Choose the correct answer below.
A. One has 95% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.
B. One has 95% confidence that the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion.
C. There is a 95% chance that the true value of the population proportion will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
D. 95% of sample proportions will fall between the lower bound and the upper bound.
Solution :
Given that,
n = 1075
x = 514
Point estimate = sample proportion = = x / n = 514/1075=0.478
1 - = 1- 0.478 =0.522
At 95% confidence level the z is ,
= 1 - 95% = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05
/ 2 = 0.05 / 2 = 0.025
Z/2 = Z0.025 = 1.96 ( Using z table )
Margin of error = E = Z / 2 * ((( * (1 - )) / n)
= 1.96 (((0.478*0.522) / 1075)
E = 0.030
A 95% confidence interval for population proportion p is ,
- E < p < + E
0.478- 0.030< p <0.478+ 0.030
0.448< p < 0.508
The 95% confidence interval for the population proportion p is : 0.448< p < 0.508
correct option
A. One has 95% confidence that the interval from the lower bound to the upper bound actually does contain the true value of the population proportion.
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