John Pizza Restaurant is facing a stiff competition from the new competing pizza
restaurant guaranteeing pizza deliveries within 32 minutes or the pizza is given free. To
answer this challenge, Maldini wants to offer a 30-minute delivery guarantee. After a
careful cost analysis, Maldini has determined that such a guarantee would require an
average delivery time of less than 27 minutes. She thought that this would limit the
percentage of ‘free pizzas’ under the guarantee to less than 8% of all the deliveries, which
she had figured to be the break-even point for such a promotion. To find out if the
restaurant can meet these requirements, Maldini collected data on the total delivery times
and ‘free pizzas’ for a random sample of 81 orders within a month. The total delivery
time includes the preparation-time, the wait-time, and the travel-time for the drivers. The
sample data show an average total delivery time of 26.7 minutes with estimated
population standard deviation of 1.2 minutes. The data also show that 4 out of the 81
orders resulted in ‘free pizza’ deliveries because they took longer than 30 minutes to
deliver. Maldini is using a non-conventional confidence level of 97% in her estimates.
Please answer the following questions using the information given in this problem.
a.
Please calculate and interpret the 97% confidence interval for the mean total delivery
time of pizzas for the Maldini Restaurant. Please show the necessary steps
.
[2 points]
b. Please also calculate and interpret the 97% confidence interval for the proportion of
‘free pizzas’ expected under Maldini’s proposed promotion scheme. Please show the
necessary steps
. [2 points]
c. Based on the results for the two confidence intervals you calculated above, do you
think Maldini’s proposed promotion scheme is viable? Please carefully justify your
answer.
(a)
26.700 | mean 1 |
1.200 | std. dev. |
0.133 | std. error |
81 | n |
80 | df |
26.405 | confidence interval 97.% lower |
26.995 | confidence interval 97.% upper |
0.295 | margin of error |
The 97% confidence interval for the mean total delivery time of pizzas for the Maldini Restaurant is between 26.405 and 26.995.
(b)
Observed | |
0.0494 | p (as decimal) |
4/81 | p (as fraction) |
4. | X |
81 | n |
0.0556 | std. error |
-0.0029 | confidence interval 97.% lower |
0.1016 | confidence interval 97.% upper |
0.0522 | margin of error |
The 97% confidence interval for the proportion of ‘free pizzas’ expected under Maldini’s proposed promotion scheme is between -0.0029 and 0.1016.
(c) Based on the results for the two confidence intervals, Maldini’s proposed promotion scheme is viable.
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