The mean incubation time for a type of fertilized egg kept at 100.6F is 19 days. Suppose that the incubation times are approximately normally distributed with a standard deviation of 2 days.
(a) What is the probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches in less than 17 days?
(b) What is the probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg takes over 21 days to hatch?
(c) What is the probability that a randomly selected fertilized egg hatches between 15 and 19 days?
(d) Would it be unusual for an egg to hatch in less than 16 days? Why?
Given,
= 19 , = 2
We convert this to standard normal as
P(X < x) = P(Z < ( x - ) / )
a)
P(X < 17) = P(Z < ( 17 - 19) / 2 )
= P(Z < -1)
= 0.1587
b)
P(X > 21) = P(Z > ( 21 - 19) / 2)
= P(Z > 1)
= 0.1587
c)
P(15 < X < 19) = P(X < 19) - P(X < 15)
= P(Z < ( 19 - 19) / 2) - P(Z < (15 - 19) / 2)
= P(Z < 0) - P(Z < -2)
= 0.5 - 0.0228
= 0.4772
d)
P(X < 16) = P(Z < ( 16 - 19) / 2 )
= P(Z < -1.5)
= 0.0668
Since this probability is greater than 0.05, it would not unusual for an egg to hatch in less than 16 days.
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