A box contains 80 balls numbered from 1 to 80. If 15 balls are drawn with replacement, what is the probability that at least two of them have the same number?
Answer)
As there are fixed number of trials and probability of each and every trial is same and independent of each other
Here we need to use the binomial formula
P(r) = ncr*(p^r)*(1-p)^n-r
Ncr = n!/(r!*(n-r)!)
N! = N*n-1*n-2*n-3*n-4*n-5........till 1
For example 5! = 5*4*3*2*1
Special case is 0! = 1
P = probability of single trial = 1/80 = 0.0125
N = number of trials = 15
R = desired success = at least 2
We know that sum of all the probabilities is = 1
So, P(at least 2) = 1 - (P(0) + p(1))
= 0.01472530971
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