Question

A system consists of two identical pumps, #1 and #2. If one pump fails, the system...

A system consists of two identical pumps, #1 and #2. If one pump fails, the system will still operate. However, because of the added strain, the remaining pump is now more likely to fail than was originally the case. That is, r = P(#2 fails | #1 fails) > P(#2 fails) = q. If at least one pump fails by the end of the pump design life in 11% of all systems and both pumps fail during that period in only 5%, what is the probability that pump #1 will fail during the pump design life?

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Answer #1

Given Information:

We have given two identical pumps, say D1 and D2

The probability that at least one pump fails is 11%:

The probability that both pumps fail is 5%

If both pumps are the same:

We need to find the value of q, and it can be found by using the following formula:

The value of q can be calculated as follows:

Therefore, the probability that pump #1 will fail during the pump design life is 0.08

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