A poll taken this year asked 1034 adults whether they were fans of a particular sport and 42% said they were. Last year, 41%
of a similar-size sample had reported being fans of the sport. Complete parts a through e below.
a) Find the margin of error for the poll taken this year if one wants 90% confidence in the estimate of the percentage of adults who are fans of the sport.
d) Find the margin of error for the poll taken this year if one wants 95% confidence in the estimate of the percent of adults who are fans of the sport.
Answer)
N = 1034
A)
P = 0.42 (42%)
First we need to check the conditions of normality that is if n*p and n*(1-p) both are greater than 5 or not
N*p = 434.28
N*(1-p) = 599.72
Both the conditions are met so we can use standard normal z table to estimate the margin of error (MOE)
MOE = Z*Standard error
Standard error = √{p*(1-p)}/√n
Critical value z from z table for 90% confidence level is 1.645
P = 0.42
Margin of error = 1.645*√{0.42*(1-0.42)}/√1034
MOE = 0.02524900538
B)
For 95%
Z = 1.96 (from z table)
Rest is same
MOE = 0.03008392130
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