One thousand cards are drawn with replacement from a standard deck of 52 playing cards, and let X be the total number of aces drawn. Find the approximate probability that 65 ≤ X ≤ 90.
Answer :
Given that :
No.of cards drawn = n = 1,000
Total Playing cards = 52
In cards total no.of ace cards = 4
then,
probability of ace p = 4 / 52 = 0.077
q = 1 - p = 1 - 0.077 = 0.923
Mean = = n * p = 1000 * 0.077 = 77
Standard deviation = = npq = 1000 * 0.077 * 0.923 = 71
Therefore,
probability of P(65 < X < 90) = P(X < 90) - P(X < 65)----------->(1)
Consider,
P(X < 90) is :
= (90 - 77) / 71
= 13 / 71
= 0.18
P(X < 90) = P(Z < 0.18) = 0.5714
Now,Consider,
P(X < 65) is :
= (65 - 77) / 71
= -12 / 71
= -0.17
P(X < 65) = P(Z <-0.17) = 0.4325
Substitute these two values in equatioin 1,
P(65 < X < 90) = P(X < 90) - P(X < 65)
= 0.5714 - 0.4325
= 0.1389
P(65 < X < 90) = 0.1389
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