We know, thatif she dies, she will get the full $100,000. But what is the EXPECTED VALUE of her return from the policy at the end of 1 year?
Her monthly contribution to her life insurance fund is $150
Since we are calculating the expected value of policy at the end of 1 year when she dies, total contribution by her to her life insurance fund = $150 * 12 = $3000
probability of dying between 52-72 = 0.078
When she dies, her beneficiary will be awarded $100,000
Probability of not dying = 1 - 0.078
= 0.922
Expected value of her return from the policy at the end of one year = 0.078 * 100000 - 0.922 * 3000
= 7800 - 2766
= $5034
Expected value of her return from the policy at the end of one year = $5034
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